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silentsod's avatar

MotoGP kicked off this past weekend at Buriram in Thailand. We'll start with what I consider the surprises and then get to the rest.

Ai Ogura, on a Trackhouse Aprilia, showed that he earned his spot in MotoGP. As a rookie, he outdid Pedro Acosta on debut by placing the highest a rookie has placed since Marc Marquez himself. He finished best on an Aprilia over the weekend beating out Bez and Fernandez (Salvatori, the test rider was nowhere in the running).

Jack Miller with a one year contract on Prima Pramac Yamaha was the fastest qualifying and finishing Yamaha in race and sprint, including keeping a fairing on the bike on straights during the main race.

Honda came up surprisingly strong to start with Joan Mir looking solid throughout the weekend.

Maverick Vinales is having a terrible time adjusting to the KTM, and Bastianini displayed strength in the latter half of the race which was a solid showing though his early and sprint race pace is lacking.

Every manufacturer made it to Q2.

Another DUCATI FRONT ROW LOCKOUT from qualifying. Fielding two fewer bikes means they can't take the top 8 spots, but they still have more bikes than anyone else and good talent to ride them. Marc Marquez had a phenomenal practice and qualifying to take pole position. His brother, looking much better on a GP24 this year, secured second place. Bagnaia, who set a track record last year, took third position in the sweltering heat. Miller 4th on a Yamaha, Ogura 5th, Morbidelli 6th.

The sprint was Marc Marquez in fine form and absolutely dominating the competition. He and Alex were clearly a cut above and finished an easy one-two with a distant third place for Bagnaia. Miller crashed out after giving up places to Ogura and Morbidelli behind. Ai Ogura finished 4th place - a big reason to celebrate for Japan after what feels like never-ending disappointment from retired Taka Nakagami. This wasn't much of a race in terms of banging bars, and changing positions.

In the extreme heat of the race, Marc again sprinted away with the lead and looked to control the race comfortably. Alex slotted into second behind big brother, and Bagnaia again in third. Everything smooth until Marc dropped speed and slotted in behind his brother from a ~1.5s lead. My thought that this was for front tire pressure was later confirmed (thanks, rules) and Marc then sat close behind his brother, never more than .3s, before passing him with three laps to go and putting on a half second gap in one sector. Unbelievable pace given the hot conditions that saw many riders end up with blisters on thighs and arms from being cooked by their bikes.

Alex Marquez managed to hold off Bagnaia in spite of Alex's dropping rear grip spoiling drive and introducing some instability issues. The brothers once again finished 1-2. Ai Ogura took 5th place with Morbidelli working around him this time for 4th. Bez 6th. It's genuinely unfortunate that Jorge Martin is out with injury as it's easy to imagine him fighting with for a second or third place finish.

Honda had a bike finish 7th with Zarco at the helm, KTM all the way down in 8th with Binder, and 9th with Bastianini performing a second half race charge through much of the field. Digi in 10th despite working through injury. Miller was the top placing Yamaha in 11th with a fairing not affixed properly. Acosta had crashed and remounted but managed to finish ahead of the Aprilia test rider.

Surprising to see Honda leapfrog Yamaha and look more competitive than they have in seasons.

Next race is next week in Argentina - a favorite for Marc Marquez who must be over the moon in red.

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Sherman McCoy's avatar

F1 Projections:

1-Ferrari: Hamilton will crumble, the British Press will be in “a shambles,” and the Italian media / fans will “hurl” slurs at His Majesty. Leclerc will beat him handily. Lewis will whine about racism and retire after ‘26.

2-McLaren: Lando will get an erratic haircut (a la Jacques Villeneuve’s bleach job in 1997) as his mental health crumbles further; Oscar will beat him over the course of the season.

3-Red Bull: Lawson will be all at sea, entirely adrift. GOATstappen will somehow sneak his 5th title in the third best car.

4-Mercedes: The Board will hazard selling the team given problems in the domestic market(s) (recall that China owns ~20% of MB). Antonelli will beat George.

5-Williams: Sainz (Bortoleto who??) will end Albon’s career; Albon to WEC.

6-VCARB: Hadjar will get fined for swearing and will probably only do one season. Yuki will get dropped UNLESS Lawson is so woefully bad that they swap the seats mid year.

7-Aston Martin: Mediocre season; Max will join for ‘26 and Fernando will get fired just as the team lands on a championship-winning piece of equipment. Max and Stroll finish 1-2 every race in 2026.

8-Haas: Bearman will end Ocon’s career; Ocon to WEC.

9-Alpine: Fabulous Flavio will sell the team to Hitech; Jack Doohan won’t be, ahem, Doohan a good enough job to hang onto his seat and will be replaced with Feisty Franco Colapinto before the summer break. Jack can go back to his first love: hosting the post-race show.

10-Stake: Audi will somehow, some way kinda sorta back out of their works project due to “climate guilt.” Hulkenberg will retire or go to WEC. Bortoleto will end up in Brazilian stock cars.

11-Cadillac: When they join in 2026, they will get lapped by Stake / Audi / SAudi at every race.

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